Heare are the dates ,at last.
I am extremely sorry ,to post the dates ,after the month has already started ( and we had one major quake also)
Due to busy office schedules and work carried home (unfortunately, no one pays you for your research work ,if not supported by institutes and no Institute support Earthquake prediction reserch ,which is against the set norms and theory of plate tectonics)
By the way ,I was offered a reserch fellowship ,if I work on plate tectonics guidelines)
Any way ,here are the dates.
This month the dates have + or - 12 hrs of window time ( all times in UTC)
1) 9th December 23....17.00 UTC
2)12th December........21.00 UTC
3)22nd December......17.00 UTC
4)26th December........01.00 UTC
5)26th December. . 23.00 UTC
6) 31st December......17.00 UTC
Epicenter location will be as per my epicenter hypothesis
19 comments:
Amit;
Do you have a list of all your predictions for the previous 5 years or so?
Trying to evaluate your success rate. 6+ or whatever you use.
Roger
Roger
Yes
All the dates are available on this blog itself
May be 10 years and more
Regards
Amit
Amit;
Here's a sure fire prediction method.
Divide each month into 3 consecutive day windows.
Predict a 6+ quake for the center day, (+- 1 day).
You'll get about 70% success.
Roger
Amit;
How about putting all of them in one place?
You know where they are and my time is getting short.
I seem to hear a swishing sound, like a scythe, in the background.
Roger
Amit;
Here's another thought; make a prediction for every third day in the month.
If a quake happens, you score a hit of some kind. If there are enough quakes you get a high score.
Can't fail unless there are no quakes at all.
Roger
Roger
Hold it.
For every third day prediction, you need 14 prediction dates.where as my dates are hardly 4 to 5
Amit
amit
that's not correct. It should go 1/2,1/5,1/8,1/11,1/14,1/17,1/20,1/23, etc.
Roger
Amit
365/3 = 121+ predictions per year.
31/3 = 10+ predictions per month
The problem is that there are frequently not that many quakes.
Roger
Amit;
For the years 2020 to 2024 you made 74 predictions and got 13 hits.
Pretty poor, I'd say.
Roger
Roger
Without cross checking data ,I can say ,this statement is not correct.
Just think..
I ,generally predict 4 to 5 dates in a month.
This could be 50 pa.
50 for 4 years is not 200.
I need not verify the other part ie only 13 hits
Regards
Amit
Amit;
You lost me there. I gave you a count from a list of all your predictions plotted on a list of all the quakes and 13 hits is all you got.
Should I send you the list?
Roger
Amit;
50 x 4 = 200
Roger
Amit;
I have a file listing every prediction you made and every quake of the proper mag
so don't even think that my count is incorrect. And yes, near (+/- 1 day) counts.
Roger
Amit;
If you like, I can send you a copy of the list. Better yet, you can post the list here so everyone can see for themselves that my count is correct.
Face it; you failed.
Roger
Amit;
In addition, anyone who wishes can request a copy of the file and see for themselves
how badly you lost.
Roger
Roger
I request you ,yourself post it here ,
Let people know ,how badly I have performed during years 2020 to 2024
Amit
Amit
This is driving me nuts!
I'm trying to get printed proof of all your predictions from 2021 to 2024
but I just can't do it from what's on this website.
2021 is spotty and 2023 is nowhere to be found.
Please, please for your own sake, post the list so I can do my part correctly.
Roger
Roger
Ok
Will provide for 2021 to 24
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