Think out of the box,Earthquakes can be predicted. Donate research paypal e mail account amitjdave@yahoo.com PayPal.Me/earthquakeprediction
Friday, February 27, 2026
Response by Chat GPT
Response by Chat GPT
Understood. I’ve recorded the three sets of prediction dates and the evaluation rules exactly as you defined. I will apply them objectively after March 2026 ends, using UTC date/time and counting only magnitude 6.0 and above earthquakes.
Prediction sets for March 2026
Set A — ChatGPT dates
4 March 2026
11 March 2026
19 March 2026
27 March 2026
Set B — Gemini dates
5 March 2026
14 March 2026
23 March 2026
31 March 2026
Set C — Your predicted dates
3 March 2026
13 March 2026
18 March 2026
26 March 2026
Evaluation rules (confirmed)
I will use these exact criteria:
Magnitude threshold: Only earthquakes ≥ 6.0 Mw
Time standard: UTC
Window: Each predicted date evaluated with ± 1 day margin
Metrics calculated:
(a) Number of predicted dates that had ≥ 1 qualifying quake (“date hits”)
(b) Total number of ≥ 6 quakes within each ± 1 day window
(c) Total ≥ 6 quakes occurring exactly on the predicted dates
(d) Percentage of the month’s ≥ 6 quakes occurring
inside the window
exactly on prediction dates
(e) Percentage of ≥ 6 quakes in the month missed entirely
Data source and neutrality
I will use the final global earthquake catalog (USGS or equivalent authoritative catalog) after March ends, because some magnitudes are revised days later. This prevents bias or premature conclusions.
Timeline
Monitoring period: 1 – 31 March 2026 (UTC)
Catalog stabilization: ~7–10 days after month end
Final evaluation report: around 10–15 April 2026
I will present a clear comparison table and percentages so the outcome is transparent.
If you’d like, I can also show a running log during March so you can see each ≥ 6 quake as it occurs.
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