Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Accuracy of Earthquake Prediction

 Watch 6.1 quake at Indonesia just now.on 18th Jan 2023 at

00.40 UTC at 123 degree Longitudes 

Check Japan Prediction

17th Jan 2023 ,23.00 hrs,( + or - 30 minutes.) UTC ,6.3(+ or - 0.5) magnitude,  140 degree ( + or - 10 degree longitudes)

Further watch epicenter  Moon is right overhead ( at Zenith)

Monday, January 16, 2023

Extended hypothesis for plste tectonics

 

More hypothesis
1) Pengea was the first and last supercontinent
2) Future plate tectonics animations which shows south pole plate will move upward etc..may not be correct
3) Plates whose 50%+ land mas have crossed Equator will not come to Equator again.

Suppose ,if we believe all previous supercontinents were there ,then the question remains ,what has happened to those all old plate boundaries.?
Are those merged with one another?
If yes, is there any chance of existing plate boundaries getting merged? making one bigger homogeneous plate?
For such haphazard movement of plates throughout previous supercontinents, the convection heat currents were changing all the time? if yes why
If such strong heat currents were present earlier it will not allow the last big supercontinent Pengea.
So the fact is ( as per my Opinion)
1) The Pengea was the first and last supercontinent
2) It did not move Noth or south as thland mass on both side of Equator was equal
3) The violent quakes and eruption first broken it in two pieces
4) Once broken the two plates stated moving north east ( above Equator) and Siuth west ( below Equator)
So there are no chance of South pole plates moving northward and crossing Equator

Hypothesis of plate movements

 Yes ,that is what I am trying to say.

The plates move away from Equator towards less rotation (angular) speed. Slowly at pole their speed reduces /approches to zero.

  This is why we have less land mas ar Equator. 

  You can see more small plates ,which are moving faster near Equator, but only one big plate at poles ,which is nearly at stand still.

 You can see more plate boundaries and more quakes between + and - 30 degree lattitudes. This is because the Moon , Sun and planets have maximum declination 27 degree north or south.

  I also ,dare to say that plates have only two movements 

1) Above Equator it moves towards North, North East. All those plates whose 50%+ land mass is above Equator moves towards ,North East, due to Earth rotation 

2) All those plates whose 50%+ land mass is below Equator  moves towards South, South-west ,till they reach south pole or obstructed before reaching south pole.

3)I also say that,two plates never move against each other.When one reaches near poles ,the plate below it pushes it.It is always one way push.In northen/southern hemisphere two plates can not move in opposite direction.What we see is one at standstill and another pushing it

4) what we see divergent plates are ,one stand still (or nearly at stand still -like south pole big plate ,the upward moving plates creates a gap ,like Indo Australian plate

These are my hypothesis 

Sunday, January 15, 2023

Tectonic plate movements hypothesis

 Roger

Yes ,that is what I am trying to say.

The plates move away from Equator towards less rotation speed. Slowly at pole their speed reduces /approchescto zero.

  We have less land mas ar Equator. 

  Yo can see more small plates ,which are moving faster near Equator, but only one big plate at poles ,which is nearly at stans still.

  I also ,dare to say that plates have only two movements 

1) Above Equator it moves towards North, North East. All those plates whose 50%+ land mass is above Equator moves towards ,North East, due to Earth rotation 

2) All those plates whose 50%+ land mass is below Equator  moves towards South, South-west ,till they reach south pole or obstructed before reaching south pole.

3)I also say that,two plates never move against each other.When one reaches near poles ,the plate below it pushes it.It is always one way push.

4) what we see divergent plates are ,one stand still (or nearly at stand still -like south pole big plate ,the upward moving plates creates a gap ,like Indo Australian plate

These are my hypothesis 

One more major earthquake-a date hit prediction

 

Yet another major quake
A 6.3 Earthquake at Japan Region today at 04.49 UTC.
watch accuracy of prediction.
Yesterday I have posted about one more 6+ quake to occure by 17th ,here it is.
  I am still not convinced.  Yet one more 6+ will come in 24 hrs .
Location will follow ,the epicenter hypothesis
Pl see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

6.2 Quake at Indonesia on 15th Jan 23 ,22.30 UTC

 

A strong Earthquake of 6.2 magnitude at Indonesia  on 15th 22.30 UTC .04.00 IST (on 15th)
watch accuracy .
please check the epicenter hypothesis.
Moon overhead ( zenith) and Sun rising both at epicenter
I expect one more 6+ by 17th January 23
Time and again O have noticed accuracy of epicenter hypothesis correct to the extent of 90% major quakes (6+)
In 10% cases ,if Jupiter and Mars are closer /changing direction,  the epicenter could follow their Zenith or Nadir
Pl see
earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Saturday, January 14, 2023

Why Supercontinent broke in sub continents

 Let us talk something about super continent Gondwana and it's breaking in the continents which we see today on map.

Gondwana ,around 336 to 175 million years ago existed on planet Earth.

 Alfered Wegener ,gave hypothesis that ,the one super continent was broken down in several land masses and drifted away.

 Yes ,the evidences of fossils and ,sea floor opening and may be increase in height of mountains may indicate this.

However the basic question is How did it break in first place.

 It is believed that the hot plumes of lava may have caused rupture in this supercontinent and broken in peices 

There were numurous such supercontinents prior to this , like Vaalbara ( 3636 million years ago) ,Rodinia and Pannotia.

   For our study we will consider the last supercontinent, ie Gondwana

  1) Scene 1.

    The Earth stated cooling off and upper crust has started forming supercontinent,say in the Shape of Gondwana at the location where ,we believe it existed

Or from its earlier version Pannotra ( 633 million years to 573 million years)

2) Scene 2

  The hot plume of magma from beneath this Gondwana ,broke it in to pieces which started drifting away. The continents seen as today are finally arrived at

Now the questions  are

1) Whether the hot plumes of magma was there earlier to formation of Gondwana ? Or it started later 

2) If it was there earlier ,and active, it would have not allowed the formation of Supercontinent there,with its splitting force already active

3) And if  it( the hot magma plume) was not there ,active , how and why did it started later .

4) How long it took to break ?

5) Whether the hot magma plume is still at that location and active?

 The correct explanation is like this

 Yes ,there are plates and they are moving, and quake generally occur on plate boundaries , but because the plate boundaries are weaker cross section and tidal pull can break it first


 Explanation 

1) The super continent Gondwana broke away due to violent quakes and violent eruptions induced due to 

execcessive tidal pull on potent dates.

2)  The broken away continents then drifted away ,to the upper latitudes, due to rotation of Earth on the axis.

 It may please be noted that ,there is minimum land mass along Equator and more land masses as you move towards poles. This is due to rotation of Earth .The floating plates moves away from center and hence away from Equator. 

 The proof is ,Indian subcontinent, being small in size ,moved much faster towards North, due to Earth rotation

  So bottom line is 

a) The Gondwana was broken due to violent quakes and violent eruptions both due to excessive tidal pulls .

b) These continents are moving away towards poles ,both north and south due to Earth rotation on axis

c) These continents will never come again at Equator as predicted by scientists.They will move towards poles  and concentrate at both poles. As shown in some animation of future plate movements, Australia and Southern land mass will never come towards Equator .