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Monday, November 04, 2013

My Earthquake prediction (6.5+) from November 2006 to October 2013


SR NO DATE
PREDICTED
NAG, PREDICTED ACTUAL QUAKES + OR - ONE DAY Roger list sr number remark
1 19-11-2006 6.5 0 1
2 11/12/2006 7.2 0 2
3 18-12-2006 6.9 0 3
4 24-12-2006 6.4 0 4
5 8/4/2007 7.5 0 5
6 24-04-2007 7.5 0 6
7 28-04-2007 7.5 0 7
8 2/5/2007 7.5 0 8
9 10/5/2007 7.8 0 8
10 16-06-2007- 7 0 9
11 13-08-2007 7 0 3
12 22.8-2007 7 0 14
13 22-12-2007 7 0 15
14 29-12-2007 7 0 16
15 4/5/2008 8 0 17
16 5/5/2008 8 0 18
17 10/5/2008 8 6.8 on 10-05-2008 19
18 13-05-2008 8 7.9 on12-05-2008 20
19 17-05-2008 8 0 21
20 20-05-2008 8 0 22
21 20-10-2008 6.9 6.9 on 19-10 27
22 2/1/2009 6 7.6 on 3-01-2009 29
23 4/1/2009 7.2 ditto 30
24 11/1/2009 7.1 0 31 12-01 not taken 
25 15-01-09 7.4 7.4, 6.7 on 15-01-09 33
26 26-01-09 6.9 0 35
27 9/2/2009 7.1 0 36
28 4/3/2009 6.6 0 37
29 6/3/2009 6.9 0 38
30 15-04-09 6.5 6.7 on 16-04 39
31 22-04-09 6.7 0 40
32 9/5/2009 6.6 0 41
33 18-05-09 7.2 0 42 an d 43
34 24-05-09 6.7 0 44
35 6/6/2009 6.8 0 45
36 13-06-09 6.5 0 46 mag taken 7
37 16-06-09 6.5 0 47 mag taken 7.2
38 20-06-09 6.5 0 48 mag taken 7.1
39 22-06-09 6.5 0 49 ditto 7.4
40 3/10/2009 6.5 0 51
41 11/10/2009 6.8 0 53
42 13-10-09 7 0 54
43 24-10-09 7 7.0  on24-10 0 roger have not taken
44 18-10-09 6.9 0 55
45 24-12-09 6.6 0 58
46 26-12-2009 6.5 0 59
47 1/1/2010 7.2 0 60
48 3/1/2010 7 7.1 and 6.5 on 3-01-2010 61
49 15-01-10 6.7 0 62
50 18-01-10 6.6 0 63
51 30.01.10 6.5 0 64
52 15-02-2010 6.6 0 65
53 28-02-10 6.8 8.8 and 6.9 on 27-02 66
54 11/3/2010 6.5 7.2 and 6.9 on 11-03-2010 67
55 15-03-10 6.9 6.6 and 6.5 on 14-03 68
56 29-03-10 7 6.6 on 30-03 69
57 11/4/2010 6.5 6.8 on 11-04-2010 70
58 25-04-10 6.6 6.5 on 26-4-10 71
59 20-05-10 6.6 0 73
60 23-05-10 7 6.5 on 24-05-10 74
61 27-05-10 7 7.2 on 27-05-10 75
62 29-05-10 7 0 76
63 5/6/2010 7.1 0 77
64 12/6/2010 7.1 7.5 on 12-0610 79
65 22-06-10 7.1 6.7 on 26-06-10 80
66 4/7/2010 6.8 0 81
67 11/7/2010 6.8 0 82
68 16-07-10 7.1 0 83
69 23-07-10 6.9 7.4 and 7.3 on 23-07-2010 84
70 26-07-2010 7.1 0 85
71 31-07-10 6.5 0 86
72 10/8/2010 7 7.3 on 10-08-2010 87
73 7/8/2010 6.8 0 not taken by roger
74 12/8/2010 7.3 7.1 and 6.9 on 12 and 13th -08-10 88
75 24-08-2010 7 0 89
76 27-08-10 7.4 0 90
77 1/9/2010 7 0 91
78 3/9/2010 7.3 7 on 3-09-10 92
79 8/9/2010 7.6 0 93
80 15-09-10 6.6 0 94
81 23-09-10 7.2 0 95
82 30-09-2010 6.9 7.2 on 29-09-2010 96
83 6/10/2010 6.6 0 97
84 9th oct 2010 6.6 0 98
85 20-10-2010 6.9 6.7 on 21-10-2010 99
86 23-10-2010 6.7 0 100
87 2/11/2010 6.6 0 101
88 16-11-2010 7 0 102
89 21-11-2010 6.8 0 103
90 23-11-2010 6.7 0 104
91 29-11-2010 6.7 6.8 on 30-11-2010 105
92 6/12/2010 6.6 0 106
93 21-12-2010 6.8 6.5 on 20-12-2010 107
94 27-12-2010 6.7- 0 108
95 19-01-2011 7 7.2 on 18-01-2011 109
96 25-01-2011 7 0 110
97 19/2/2011 7 0 111
98 21-02-2011 7 6.5 on 21-02-2011 112
99 20-03-2011 7.5 0 113
100 8/4/2011 6.5 7.1 on 7-04-2011 not taken by roger
101 11/4/2011 6.5 6.7 on 11 -04-2011 not taken by roger
102 17-04-2011 6.5 6.6 on 18-04-2011 115
103 7/5/2011 6.8 0 116
104 16-05-2011 6.9 6.6 on 16-05-2011 117
105 29-05-2011 6.7 0 118
106 12/6/2011 6.5 0 120
107 15-06-2011 7 6.5 on 16-06-2011 121 and 122
108 30-06-2011 7 0 123 and 124
109 9/7/2011 7 7.1 on10-07-2011 125
110 31-07-2011 6.5 6.7 on 31-07-2011 126
111 6/8/2011 6.5 0 127
112 13-08-2011 6.8 0 128
113 22-08-2011 7 0 not taken by roger
114 29-08-2011 7.1 6.8 on 30-08-2011 not taken by roger
115 2/9/2011 6.8 6.5 and 6.8 on 2-09-2011 130
116 5/9/2011 6.5 6.6 on 5-09-2011 131
117 12/9/2011 7 0 132
118 28-09-2011 7.2 0 133 and 134
119 21-10-2011 6.6 7.4 on 21-10-2011 137
120 27-10-2011 6.9 6.9 on 28-10-2011 138 ad 139
121 13-11-2011 6.5 0 141
122 25-11-2011 6.7 0 142 and 143
123 10/12/2011 6.5 6.7 on 11-12-2011 145
124 20-12-2011 6.6 0 147
125 24-12-2011 6.9 0 148
126 9/1/2012 6.5 6.6 on 9-01 and 7.2 on 10-01-2012 150
127 19-01-2012 6.6 0 151 and 152
128 12/2/2012 6.5 0 154
129 8-032012 6.7 6.7 on 9-03-2012 158
130 15-03-2012 6.5 6.9 on 14-03-2012 159 and 160
131 7/4/2012 6.5 0 162 and 163
132 6/5/2012 6.8 0 166
133 8/5/2012 6.6 0 167
134 22-05-2012 6.5 0 169
135 4/6/2012 6.6 0 171
136 10/6/2012 6.5 0 172
137 29-06-2012 6.6 0 175
138 3/7/2012 7.1 0 177 and 178
139 29-07-2012 6.8 6.5 on 28-07-2012 not taken by roger
140 25-08-2012 6.6 6.6 on 26-08-2012 180 and 181
141 8/9/2012 6.6 0 183
142 23-09-2012 6.7 0 186 and 187
143 19-10-2012 6.8 0 189
144 15-11-2012 7 6.5 on 16-11-2012 191 and 192
145 13-12-2012 7.1 0 194
146 27-12-2012 6.8 0 196
147 10/1/2013 7 0 199
148 23-01-2013 6.5 0 201
149 6/2/2013 7 7.9,7.1 and 7.0 on 6-02-2013 203 and 204
150 18-02-2013 6.5 0 206
151 21-02-2013 6.6 0 207
152 6/3/2013 6.5 0 not taken by roger
153 1/4/2013 6.8 0 210 and 211
154 27-05-2013 6.6 0 214 and 215
155 8/6/2013 6.7 0 216
156 24-06-2013 7 6.5 on 24-06-2013 218 and 219
157 22-07-2013 6.6 6.5 on 21-07-2013 222
158 14-09-2013 6.5 0 224 and 225
159 11/10/2013 6.7 0 229 and 230
160 18-10-2013 6.6 6.5 on 19-10-2013 231
Total 160 dates predicted and 53 hits with + or - one day window period

odds are 0.3 .hence out of 160, 48 hits are expected

It is above average

4 comments:

AMIT said...

hi
error
first two serial number actual quakes ie 4th column is 0
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

2 hits more than chance is nothing to brag about.

Nearly half the random groups are that good or better.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
Let the psychological barrier be broken that ,it is impossible to beat odds. Rest of the things will follow
AMIT

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

I have no such barrier.

All you must do is demonstrate that you have some skill.

So far, you haven't.

Did you get my corrected list?

Once we can agree on what you predicted then we can discuss how well you're doing.


Roger