Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Monday, October 03, 2011

Earthquake prediction for October 2011

hi
Earthquake prediction for the month October 2011 are as follows( locations not specified)
1)12th/13th October 2011------6.2 ( ie time- 12th Noon to 13th Noon UTC)
2)21st October 2011-----------6.6
3)26th/27th OCtober 2011----6.9
Window period + or - one day
Magnitude window + or - 0.3
Also, these dates are prone to volcanic eruptions and cyclones
Amit

21 comments:

Anonymous said...

Thanks so much for posting all of the good content! I am looking forward to reading more.
Acheter vimax en France.2011AVEF

Rajesh said...

Sir,
Is there any relation between solar acivity & earthquake cosidering the earth crust, Mental contains iron or other fero magnetic materials & core contains liquid iron & magnetic materials, if a Large CME G5 strom X-class flairs occures,can alter or change the earth magentic filed / or magnetise techonic plates causing large earthquake.

Does the pole shift occures rapidly or rather in a smooth linear manner during shifting do we exprience any earthquake ?

WHAT IS THE CAUSE OF POLE SHIFTING ??? is it natual a phenomina or external planets entring in solar system /magnetic field /falling comet are responsible ??

Regards
Rajesh

AMIT said...

hi
An earthquake of 6.2 at Argentina n 6th morning indicates a quake after 7th 8rh day ,ma be between 12th /13th October
Those who want to see position of planets

http://planetwatcher.com/#1292234350
You can see square aspect of Mon with Jupiter and Opposition with Mars
Amit

AMIT said...

Rajesh
1) Relation of Solar flares with quakes has not been proved yet.But ,there are so many things we do not understand properly. Say ,for example,, scientist have noted considerable change in upper atmosphere just before Japan Mega quake,we do not know how and why.
2)Pole shifting and planets may not be linked
these are my opinions
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
6.5 quake at south of Kermadic island on 7th October 2011
Amit

AMIT said...

Earthquake prediction get more accurate

Please see the link below ,which states that,the prediction of quakes ,by various methods is 10 times more accurate than random dates.
The competition results announced by National Academy of science in September 26th issue,stated that ULCA researcher Agnnes Helmstetter was considered the winner with highest probability


http://www.dailydemocrat.com/news/ci_19003677

The question is -

HOW CAN WE SAY IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT THE EARTHQUAKES?
OR
IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO GO BEYOND RANDOM DATES ,AS FAR AS EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IS CONCERNED?

Amit

AMIT said...

hi
6.1 quake on 13th at south of Bali, as against 6.2 predicted for 12th /13th October 2011
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
6.7 quake at PNG on 14th morning(UTC) .yet another hit prediction.How can we say such clustrrs of major quakes as merely by chance?
Specialy when such clustrrs occur on predicted date

AMIT said...

Hi
If Katla is to be erupted(as it is said), than possible dates in this month are 21st and 26/27th october
2011
Amit

Anonymous said...

I am able to experience tremendous jolt and guddiness during such happenings especially during the occuring time when you pose yourself to southeast and northwest corners of a house since 1998.

Hari Chennai

AMIT said...

Hi
5.3 quake at Gujarat beteeen 20/21 st october 2011.
Next date 26th/27th october 2011
Amit

TheXDMarilyn said...

Just read on twitter that a 6.3 just hit Japan followed by a 5+

AMIT said...

hi

hi
Several earthquakes reported on predicted date ie 21st October 2011

1) japan ---6.1

2) Gujarat---5.3

3)San Francisco--4

Though, it is right on target, the magnitude predicted was 6.6. Thus ,strictly speaking (+ or - one day--correct and + or - 0.3 magnitude is out of window

Nonetheless, it can be stated that , major quakes can be predicted

Amt

AMIT said...

Hi
yet another 7.6 at kermadic Island near NZ on predicted dste.
How long we can keep our eyes close and say all these quakes are by chance? Time amd again the accuracy of date has been proved.
I have also requested New Zealand Govt to look in to the matter
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
unfortunately 7.2 quake at eastern turkey
left 1000 dead to day ie 23 oct 2011
you may call it just outside + or - one day window

watch till 27th october 2011.place not known

Amit

AMIT said...

7.3 quake at eastern turkey on 23rd October 2011 , killing hundreads of people

Oct 21 to 23 rd were specifically selecte for several reason

Jupiter is closest- 3.9 AU ( Astronomical Units ie average distance of Earth to Sun)

Moon Closest 57.5 ER ( Earth Radious)

Moon at Equater on 22/23 rd Oct

Moon Squaring Jupiter and Sun besides Squaring Saturn and Venus

But the main point is closenes of Jupiter and Moon to Earth

I have some questions to all those who think my dates are no good than radom dates given by any body

What are the odds of having 7+ quakes (more than one ) on random dtaes/window period of date?

What are the chances of two dufferent tectonic plates developing rupture on the same day?

Are some dates prone to major quakes?

How do plate tectonic explain intra plate quakes? like one of 5.3 at Gujarat recentely

Are we not ready to look at any theory other than plate tectonics?

Are scientist , geologist and seismologist not wasting tax payers money ,on a theory, which they themself believe can not predict quakes?

If some one is skeptical, let us observe the dates given by anybody any comare them with my dates as well as actual quakes

Amit

AMIT said...

hi
Mount Etana Erupted again

http://www.focus-fen.net/index.php?id=n262535

Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
A volcano in central Indonesia erupted between 26th and 27th october 2011
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
Chile volcano Hudson erupted to day ie on
friday 28th october 2011.
Maximum quake observed is 6 at Indonesia.
The theory suggest when volcano erupts on the date or window period the quake will be of lesser
magnitude.
In fact if I say-It would be advisible if we can prododuce controled volcanic eruption on specified dates we may get lesser magnitude quakes-there could be objections from my learned veiwers
The queastion remains of selecting date and remote volcano.I am aware my this comment may trigger a hot debate
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
A stronng quake of 6,9 hit peru on 28th evening UTC against prediction of 6,9 on 26/27th oct 2011
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
There is one more quake on sunday morning
ie 30th october 2011 at Taiwan.
The inreresting part of this quake is
Local seismologist says it was 6.5
However USGS says it was 5.5

The questions are
Are we not equip to measure it correctly?

What makes such huge difference in estimate?

And

How can seismologist expect some one to predict
Magnitude to precise accuracy before it has occured when they can not do the same after it has already occured?

Amit